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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 3AM ET

data as of 2025-12-12 08:50 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$249−$3.1K$3.4K
Holders24−226
Trades71+665
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.0%
−38.5 pp
77.5%
Avg ROI4.4%
+2.9 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.30
−0.72×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.21
+1.29×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16
−$1.3K
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-54.9%
−63.1 pp
8.2%
Underwater %21.0%
−57.5 pp
78.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.7%
+26.9 pp
36.8%
Bot %59.4%
+14.5 pp
44.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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