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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 17:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$37K+$13K$24K
Holders528+107421
Trades4.0K+1613.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.0%
+0.6 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI2.1%
−0.5 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×60.46
+60.07×
×0.39
Top-20 avg cost vs price×63.67
+63.27×
×0.40
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$34.9K
+$14.8K
$20.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.06
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.3%
−244.9 pp
146.6%
Underwater %98.9%
+98.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.9%
−3.5 pp
44.4%
Bot %68.0%
−7.6 pp
75.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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