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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-14 20:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.3K−$415$5.7K
Holders114−7121
Trades1.2K+791.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.4%
−3.7 pp
56.1%
Avg ROI6.2%
−0.0 pp
6.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.51
+50.03×
×0.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×48.71
+48.20×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.9K
−$1.3K
$3.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.02
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.9%
−194.8 pp
96.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.5%
+2.0 pp
52.5%
Bot %61.8%
−1.6 pp
63.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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