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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

data as of 2026-05-04 12:15 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$15K$4.1K
Holders223−34257
Trades1.8K−4062.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate69.7%
+28.3 pp
41.4%
Avg ROI0.7%
−0.6 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.79
+0.15×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.78
+0.10×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.7K
+$13.6K
$3.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.06
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL26.4%
−21.1 pp
47.5%
Underwater %0.3%
−36.2 pp
36.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.7%
+5.4 pp
68.3%
Bot %73.3%
+3.1 pp
70.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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