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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10AM ET

data as of 2025-09-27 07:32 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.3K−$4.6K$11K
Holders60+2337
Trades1.0K+23998
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.5%
−12.4 pp
52.9%
Avg ROI12.1%
+8.5 pp
3.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.34
+0.48×
×0.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.22
+0.36×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$421
−$2.2K
$2.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-18.5%
−34.2 pp
15.6%
Underwater %88.1%
+84.9 pp
3.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.3%
−10.2 pp
83.5%
Bot %73.1%
−10.4 pp
83.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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