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Faithless elector in US election?

data as of 2024-10-31 14:36 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.5K−$2.8K$6.3K
Holders48+1632
Trades687−75762
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.1%
+6.1 pp
34.9%
Avg ROI1.2%
−2.1 pp
3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.01
+0.01×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.06
+0.06×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$1
$2
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-8.2%
−9.1 pp
0.9%
Underwater %97.3%
+30.5 pp
66.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.1%
−26.4 pp
96.5%
Bot %70.1%
−26.4 pp
96.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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