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Will the Chicago Cubs win the NL Central Division?

data as of 2025-04-12 09:30 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$8.2K−$1.9K$10K
Holders81−485
Trades614−50664
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate80.9%
+30.2 pp
50.7%
Avg ROI1.0%
−7.9 pp
8.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.04
+0.10×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.04
+0.09×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$37
+$4
$33
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-4.2%
−8.8 pp
4.6%
Underwater %96.8%
+85.7 pp
11.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.4%
+5.7 pp
44.7%
Bot %50.4%
−28.5 pp
78.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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