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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-05 09:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.4K−$9.5K$16K
Holders354+97257
Trades2.9K+1012.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.9%
−4.1 pp
53.1%
Avg ROI3.4%
+2.5 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.50
+13.78×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.98
+13.25×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.0K
−$7.4K
$13.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.05
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.9%
−131.6 pp
38.6%
Underwater %99.2%
+99.0 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.2%
−3.5 pp
78.7%
Bot %77.2%
−3.3 pp
80.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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