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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-22 21:13 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K+$7.9K$6.5K
Holders185+83102
Trades1.6K−781.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.1%
+5.5 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI17.7%
+16.1 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.94
−1.04×
×1.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−1.24×
×2.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.3K
+$6.9K
$3.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.00
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL19.0%
+71.2 pp
-52.2%
Underwater %0.1%
−99.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.7%
−27.8 pp
56.4%
Bot %39.1%
−42.5 pp
81.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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