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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 17?

data as of 2026-04-17 11:59 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$351−$5.1K$5.4K
Holders78−1694
Trades457+159298
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.5%
−30.8 pp
69.3%
Avg ROI14.0%
+11.8 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.00
+10.09×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.25
+11.34×
×0.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$58
$59
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.03
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.9%
−104.1 pp
12.2%
Underwater %98.9%
+98.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.6%
+7.7 pp
14.9%
Bot %22.6%
+8.0 pp
14.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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