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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

data as of 2026-02-28 09:28 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$31K+$11K$20K
Holders344+16328
Trades4.5K−3794.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate64.2%
+17.2 pp
46.9%
Avg ROI0.6%
−10.3 pp
10.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.61
−12.45×
×13.06
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−12.19×
×12.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.0K
+$16.4K
$2.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.07
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL49.4%
+141.6 pp
-92.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.5 pp
97.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.9%
+2.4 pp
73.4%
Bot %75.7%
+2.3 pp
73.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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