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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

data as of 2026-02-18 10:04 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.4K−$18K$25K
Holders387+113274
Trades2.8K−3233.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.6%
−17.6 pp
58.2%
Avg ROI-1.5%
−0.4 pp
-1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.96
+8.26×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.41
+8.70×
×0.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.8K
−$7.1K
$13.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.12
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.7%
−133.2 pp
44.6%
Underwater %92.5%
+92.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.1%
−26.4 pp
71.5%
Bot %44.5%
−25.9 pp
70.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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