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Will Ryan Robertson win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?

data as of 2026-07-28 15:57 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Aug 29, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
7¢
NO
93¢
YES
7¢
YesY-NNo
Position$22−$257$278
Holders12+111
Trades12+111
NO
93¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate16.1%
−71.0 pp
87.1%
Avg ROI-5.1%
−9.9 pp
4.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.03
+0.03×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22
−$257
$278
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-2.8%
−2.8 pp
-0.0%
Underwater %13.3%
−86.7 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.7%
+6.7 pp
0.0%
Bot %6.7%
+6.7 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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