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Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

data as of 2025-12-20 06:19 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$511−$182K$182K
Holders68−136204
Trades1.9K+925943
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.9%
−58.5 pp
86.4%
Avg ROI30.0%
+30.0 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.19
+0.19×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.06
+0.06×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$10
$10
Recent buyer dominance0.56
−0.44
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-5.8%
−5.8 pp
-0.0%
Underwater %88.9%
−11.1 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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