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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12PM ET

data as of 2025-10-12 14:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$37K+$32K$5.0K
Holders70−2090
Trades1.9K−7782.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.5%
+6.5 pp
48.1%
Avg ROI-0.6%
−15.4 pp
14.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.75
−22.80×
×23.55
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−18.50×
×19.22
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$914
+$653
$261
Recent buyer dominance0.64
−0.21
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL40.7%
+136.4 pp
-95.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.1 pp
97.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.1%
+9.8 pp
52.2%
Bot %61.6%
+7.2 pp
54.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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