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Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on April 21?

data as of 2026-04-21 13:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$102−$2.7K$2.8K
Holders57−2077
Trades417+211206
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate26.7%
−59.2 pp
85.9%
Avg ROI13.2%
+12.5 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.39
+3.43×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.66
+3.70×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$160
$164
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.07
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-77.6%
−81.7 pp
4.1%
Underwater %96.9%
+96.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.6%
+9.7 pp
18.8%
Bot %38.4%
+19.6 pp
18.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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