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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 15:20 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K−$9.1K$29K
Holders513+200313
Trades5.5K+8234.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.9%
+2.1 pp
51.8%
Avg ROI0.7%
−3.2 pp
3.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.08
+7.53×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.64
+7.07×
×0.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.4K
−$7.5K
$22.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.06
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.1%
−165.5 pp
78.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.8%
−2.0 pp
30.8%
Bot %48.4%
−2.8 pp
51.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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