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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 07:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.6K−$17K$22K
Holders286+30256
Trades2.1K+3011.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.6%
−2.0 pp
51.6%
Avg ROI3.3%
−0.3 pp
3.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.49
+3.65×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.53
+3.69×
×0.84
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.5K
−$16.3K
$21.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.03
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-78.8%
−99.4 pp
20.5%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.0%
−1.5 pp
39.5%
Bot %62.4%
+1.2 pp
61.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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