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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

data as of 2026-05-16 08:24 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.9K−$16K$21K
Holders363+80283
Trades2.9K+3892.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.0%
−7.4 pp
54.4%
Avg ROI0.2%
+0.8 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.23
+6.41×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.72
+6.91×
×0.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.3K
−$13.7K
$17.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.04
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.1%
−113.0 pp
26.0%
Underwater %99.0%
+99.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.6%
−1.3 pp
61.9%
Bot %71.5%
−2.3 pp
73.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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