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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 2?

data as of 2026-04-02 11:37 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$405−$6.6K$7.0K
Holders124+3886
Trades961+496465
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.6%
−32.6 pp
75.2%
Avg ROI7.0%
+3.2 pp
3.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.39
+6.49×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.45
+5.53×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$0
+$12
−$12
Recent buyer dominance0.43
+0.43
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.2%
−97.0 pp
10.8%
Underwater %95.0%
+91.7 pp
3.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.8%
−1.3 pp
27.1%
Bot %25.8%
−1.3 pp
27.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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