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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 05:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K+$2.4K$15K
Holders336+44292
Trades2.3K−1582.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.0%
−2.9 pp
49.9%
Avg ROI1.1%
−0.8 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×58.00
+57.54×
×0.46
Top-20 avg cost vs price×53.16
+52.70×
×0.47
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.7K
+$3.6K
$13.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.10
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.0%
−206.3 pp
108.3%
Underwater %96.2%
+96.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.8%
+2.9 pp
28.9%
Bot %46.9%
−1.2 pp
48.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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