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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

data as of 2026-01-08 18:13 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$32K−$56K$88K
Holders411−25436
Trades9.2K+4178.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.1%
−8.4 pp
55.5%
Avg ROI3.5%
−0.9 pp
4.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.81
+14.11×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.04
+13.35×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.6K
−$23.5K
$34.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.00
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.3%
−142.5 pp
49.2%
Underwater %98.1%
+98.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.6%
+3.8 pp
76.7%
Bot %78.9%
+3.0 pp
75.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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