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Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?

data as of 2025-12-22 13:09 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$15K−$115K$130K
Holders118−650768
Trades1.3K−5271.9K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.4%
−11.3 pp
67.8%
Avg ROI-1.9%
−9.2 pp
7.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×91.31
+90.41×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×107.96
+107.10×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$35
−$435
$470
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.34
0.55
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.2%
−115.2 pp
16.0%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.6%
+5.0 pp
0.6%
Bot %6.2%
+5.5 pp
0.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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