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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

data as of 2026-04-05 16:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$24K+$5.8K$18K
Holders417−20437
Trades5.3K+2265.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.6%
+2.5 pp
46.1%
Avg ROI-2.8%
−4.7 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.41
−52.80×
×53.21
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.41
−49.35×
×49.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.7K
−$3.6K
$17.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.03
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL134.7%
+232.7 pp
-98.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.9 pp
98.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.6%
−3.2 pp
78.7%
Bot %76.4%
−2.3 pp
78.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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