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Will the US strike Cuba next?

data as of 2026-01-31 07:08 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$723−$123K$124K
Holders94+2668
Trades1.6K+3001.3K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate31.4%
−38.0 pp
69.4%
Avg ROI1.2%
−8.4 pp
9.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.32
+1.32×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.71
+0.71×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6
−$664
$670
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.03
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-38.7%
−39.4 pp
0.7%
Underwater %64.4%
+38.9 pp
25.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.9%
−25.0 pp
42.0%
Bot %16.9%
−25.0 pp
42.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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