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Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 19-21 ET?

data as of 2025-09-17 23:06 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.1K−$6.9K$7.9K
Holders39−1352
Trades431+30401
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.8%
−11.7 pp
64.5%
Avg ROI1.4%
−0.7 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.97
+15.11×
×0.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×34.39
+33.55×
×0.84
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$49
$49
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.48
0.52
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.2%
−116.4 pp
19.1%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.5 pp
0.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.6%
−17.6 pp
71.2%
Bot %53.6%
−17.6 pp
71.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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