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XRP Up or Down - January 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

data as of 2026-01-01 21:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.2K−$664$2.9K
Holders63+1251
Trades468+97371
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.6%
−4.8 pp
57.4%
Avg ROI3.0%
−3.3 pp
6.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.60
+19.17×
×0.43
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.48
+21.02×
×0.46
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.7K
+$872
$802
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.02
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.3%
−208.7 pp
113.4%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.0%
−14.4 pp
92.4%
Bot %75.5%
−13.9 pp
89.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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