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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

data as of 2026-02-26 10:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.7K−$21K$30K
Holders439+91348
Trades3.9K+9313.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.0%
−26.5 pp
65.5%
Avg ROI2.6%
+2.5 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.22
+12.45×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.23
+14.46×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.5K
−$14.7K
$22.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.05
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.9%
−123.3 pp
29.4%
Underwater %95.4%
+95.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.6%
+7.3 pp
71.3%
Bot %76.8%
+8.6 pp
68.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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