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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

data as of 2026-06-23 00:26 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.1K−$4.3K$5.4K
Holders87−996
Trades631−72703
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.5%
−3.3 pp
51.7%
Avg ROI0.2%
−1.6 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.35
+5.51×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.89
+5.05×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$247
−$2.6K
$2.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.07
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-85.0%
−106.9 pp
21.9%
Underwater %98.6%
+96.4 pp
2.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.0%
−9.8 pp
63.8%
Bot %74.1%
−8.3 pp
82.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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