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Will the highest temperature in New York City be 54°F or higher on February 21?

data as of 2026-02-20 10:01 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$55−$15K$15K
Holders37−1249
Trades244+41203
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.0%
−45.0 pp
83.0%
Avg ROI34.5%
+34.5 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.64
−0.37×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.53
−0.49×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10
−$763
$773
Recent buyer dominance0.72
−0.28
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL94.9%
+96.5 pp
-1.6%
Underwater %0.2%
−99.5 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.6%
+42.9 pp
17.7%
Bot %60.6%
+42.9 pp
17.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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