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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

data as of 2026-04-21 01:53 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$79K$89K
Holders406−56462
Trades3.4K+3263.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.1%
−10.3 pp
53.3%
Avg ROI5.5%
+3.9 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.89
+15.20×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.50
+13.79×
×0.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.9K
−$9.2K
$18.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.00
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.9%
−138.4 pp
44.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.2%
+1.0 pp
75.2%
Bot %76.9%
−1.0 pp
78.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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