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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 23?

data as of 2026-02-23 19:52 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.4K−$16K$18K
Holders89+1772
Trades387+26361
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.7%
−36.9 pp
70.6%
Avg ROI-1.0%
−3.2 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.99
+20.16×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×20.52
+19.67×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$76
−$872
$948
Recent buyer dominance0.76
−0.24
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.0%
−113.5 pp
18.4%
Underwater %97.3%
+97.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.3%
+4.3 pp
8.0%
Bot %12.9%
+4.6 pp
8.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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