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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 00:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.3K+$5.7K$2.6K
Holders100−22122
Trades1.0K−2471.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.6%
+5.8 pp
51.8%
Avg ROI3.6%
−0.5 pp
4.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.81
−24.06×
×24.87
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.82
−20.84×
×21.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.5K
+$2.8K
$719
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.02
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL24.6%
+120.2 pp
-95.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.3 pp
95.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.5%
+12.9 pp
50.6%
Bot %71.2%
+16.8 pp
54.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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