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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-03 08:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.6K−$8.8K$11K
Holders282+119163
Trades1.6K+2701.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.3%
−14.7 pp
60.0%
Avg ROI14.8%
+8.6 pp
6.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.16
−0.65×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.18
−0.65×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.1K
−$6.6K
$8.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.04
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL466.1%
+443.7 pp
22.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−0.4 pp
0.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.9%
−11.7 pp
67.5%
Bot %57.3%
−11.7 pp
69.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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