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XRP Up or Down - July 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 04:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$339+$123$216
Holders28+1117
Trades132+3993
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.7%
+0.1 pp
54.7%
Avg ROI1.5%
+0.9 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.86
+1.04×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.65
+0.87×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$296
+$142
$154
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.04
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-39.8%
−67.0 pp
27.2%
Underwater %88.5%
+51.4 pp
37.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.0%
−16.2 pp
55.2%
Bot %55.9%
−20.0 pp
75.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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