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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

data as of 2026-05-09 04:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.3K−$14K$18K
Holders156+48108
Trades1.4K+1341.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.1%
−4.1 pp
53.2%
Avg ROI-0.7%
−0.7 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.47
+13.77×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.51
+14.81×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$550
−$2.8K
$3.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.00
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.5%
−136.5 pp
43.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.1%
−5.9 pp
82.1%
Bot %84.3%
−3.0 pp
87.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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