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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

data as of 2026-04-21 15:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$28K+$17K$11K
Holders225+23202
Trades3.3K+3173.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.8%
+12.5 pp
46.3%
Avg ROI-6.5%
−5.7 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.89
−2.40×
×3.28
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.02
−1.78×
×2.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.2K
+$13.7K
$2.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.84
+0.05
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.1%
+66.8 pp
-66.7%
Underwater %37.6%
−50.4 pp
88.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.1%
−15.4 pp
79.5%
Bot %63.7%
−16.4 pp
80.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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