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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-15 03:57 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K+$7.4K$3.8K
Holders116−56172
Trades1.2K−2931.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.3%
+8.7 pp
41.6%
Avg ROI-0.2%
−3.7 pp
3.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.64
−31.11×
×31.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.69
−26.13×
×26.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.1K
+$3.4K
$741
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.06
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL47.7%
+143.8 pp
-96.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−87.8 pp
87.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.9%
+9.0 pp
70.9%
Bot %85.9%
+6.6 pp
79.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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