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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

data as of 2026-04-23 02:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.3K−$7.2K$14K
Holders201−67268
Trades2.3K+3032.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.0%
−22.0 pp
62.1%
Avg ROI0.8%
+1.3 pp
-0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×33.63
+32.95×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×32.31
+31.64×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.5K
−$5.1K
$6.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.10
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.7%
−142.7 pp
46.0%
Underwater %99.2%
+99.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.6%
+2.5 pp
76.1%
Bot %78.7%
+2.6 pp
76.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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