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Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

data as of 2026-06-11 14:47 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$25−$291$315
Holders10010
Trades63+2142
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.3%
−55.7 pp
89.0%
Avg ROI26.4%
+26.4 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.83
+0.85×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.72
+7.73×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$49
$49
Recent buyer dominance0.68
−0.32
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.2%
−89.9 pp
1.7%
Underwater %82.7%
+82.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.0%
+10.3 pp
26.6%
Bot %54.3%
−16.1 pp
70.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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