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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

data as of 2026-01-11 05:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.8K−$18K$26K
Holders256+79177
Trades2.8K+6342.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.3%
−32.5 pp
70.8%
Avg ROI-0.7%
−1.2 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.71
+5.82×
×0.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.61
+5.74×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$868
+$81.1K
−$80.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
+0.71
0.16
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.3%
−102.3 pp
16.1%
Underwater %79.4%
+64.3 pp
15.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.9%
+10.7 pp
58.2%
Bot %68.2%
+11.4 pp
56.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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