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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 16?

data as of 2026-04-14 22:34 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$13−$391$404
Holders18+612
Trades290+24644
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.9%
+60.9 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI6.9%
+6.9 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.50
−0.50×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.66
−0.34×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$5
$5
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL50.7%
+50.7 pp
-0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.3%
−32.7 pp
100.0%
Bot %67.3%
−32.7 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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