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Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?

data as of 2025-04-28 13:31 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$13K−$124K$137K
Holders235−153388
Trades4.2K+3723.9K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.2%
−45.9 pp
74.1%
Avg ROI-12.1%
−14.0 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.76
+1.78×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.92
+1.95×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$307
$312
Recent buyer dominance0.58
−0.28
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-64.1%
−66.6 pp
2.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.1%
−58.7 pp
60.8%
Bot %2.1%
−58.7 pp
60.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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