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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

data as of 2026-04-19 21:04 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$25K+$16K$8.6K
Holders307−54361
Trades3.2K−6963.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.7%
+10.7 pp
43.0%
Avg ROI0.6%
−1.1 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−28.71×
×29.44
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−24.83×
×25.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18.8K
+$11.2K
$7.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.01
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL39.9%
+136.2 pp
-96.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.8%
+2.0 pp
68.8%
Bot %74.0%
+3.5 pp
70.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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