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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 30?

data as of 2026-04-30 19:58 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$13K+$11K$1.8K
Holders88−593
Trades745+111634
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.5%
+9.2 pp
47.3%
Avg ROI7.3%
−3.0 pp
10.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.47
−49.75×
×50.22
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.58
−44.61×
×45.19
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$969
+$812
$157
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.13
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL83.5%
+181.3 pp
-97.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.3 pp
99.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.1%
−9.8 pp
33.9%
Bot %24.0%
−9.8 pp
33.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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