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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-10 01:51 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K+$11K$3.2K
Holders118−40158
Trades997−2551.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.1%
+7.0 pp
48.1%
Avg ROI7.5%
+4.2 pp
3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.91
−2.43×
×3.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.88
−3.22×
×4.10
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.8K
+$12.1K
$1.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.04
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL15.9%
+95.8 pp
-79.8%
Underwater %0.2%
−83.8 pp
84.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.8%
+2.8 pp
43.0%
Bot %53.6%
+6.6 pp
46.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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