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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2PM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 18:35 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.9K+$3.8K$6.1K
Holders64+757
Trades559−17576
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.4%
+1.9 pp
51.5%
Avg ROI0.8%
−0.4 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.93
+0.02×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.97
+0.07×
×0.90
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$136
−$184
$321
Recent buyer dominance0.66
−0.34
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL2.2%
−7.8 pp
10.0%
Underwater %29.3%
+23.0 pp
6.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.0%
−22.0 pp
59.0%
Bot %40.0%
−30.3 pp
70.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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