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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-25 21:13 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.8K−$4.1K$8.9K
Holders242−9251
Trades1.6K+561.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.2%
−7.8 pp
52.0%
Avg ROI-11.2%
−13.1 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.15
+6.47×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.42
+6.75×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.7K
−$4.1K
$8.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.03
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.9%
−134.8 pp
47.9%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.0%
−10.4 pp
39.5%
Bot %52.7%
−14.9 pp
67.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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