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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

data as of 2026-06-19 12:26 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.0K−$5.3K$8.3K
Holders119+3485
Trades812+87725
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.9%
−10.1 pp
51.0%
Avg ROI1.5%
+0.5 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.61
+13.73×
×0.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.63
+25.76×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$207
−$408
$615
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.21
0.72
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.8%
−112.3 pp
16.5%
Underwater %97.5%
+97.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.0%
−27.8 pp
61.7%
Bot %45.6%
−26.9 pp
72.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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