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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 15:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K+$2.5K$21K
Holders615+131484
Trades5.5K+1.4K4.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.9%
+3.2 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI3.1%
+1.2 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.00
+39.35×
×0.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×38.26
+37.67×
×0.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.4K
−$248
$17.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.05
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.4%
−169.7 pp
72.3%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.5%
−3.8 pp
26.2%
Bot %31.3%
−9.0 pp
40.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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